I have written this quick
post as a response to a recent article by Peter Taylor-Gooby, entitled: ‘why do people stigmatise the poor at a timeof rapidly increasing inequality, and what can be done about it?’.
The key question is why,
when both poverty and wealth are intensifying, has there been a backlash against
the poor, and not the rich? This, as PTG
rightly says, is a ‘puzzle’; it was not the case in the 1980s, when sympathy
with the poor peaked at the end of the 1980s following recession and mass
unemployment.
What we have seen then is
the end of a key idea in social science.
The idea that sympathy with the poor correlates with the economic cycle:
low in the boom, high in the bust. Now
it is more low in the boom, even lower in the bust.
PTG outlines numerous
arguments about why this might be. The
overall gist is something he calls the ‘moralisation’ of social divisions. In other words, the middle-class (or ‘mass
middle’) not only see themselves as richer than the poor, but morally
superior.
I generally agree with
this theory and in my own paper (here) I argue that this kind of moralisation
has been dominant in political accounts of welfare reform since New
Labour. The key question then is where
this moralisation comes from. The
argument in my paper is that politicians have a prime responsibility for
driving it.
However, what you might
call ‘public opinion sceptics’ argue the opposite: that politicians follow public sentiment
rather than shape it. I don’t think this
is the case with welfare. As the graphs
in PTG’s paper show, public support for benefits fell dramatically with the
election of New Labour. I believe this
asserts the importance of what politicians say and do in relation to what the
public think.
PTG puts forward three
alternatives of how policy could challenge the existing nature of public
opinion on welfare: reciprocity (contributory benefits), solidarity
(universality) and ‘predistribution’.
The first two are generally old news (although I think there is something
to be said for emphasising a stronger contributory principle), whilst
‘predistribution’ seems a relatively seductive idea. Equality without the expense.
As of yet, we are still
relatively clueless as to what the central message of Labour’s manifesto will
be. So far they have toyed with both
contribution and predistribution; yet both are relatively ambitious and will
involve substantial policy change. It
would thus be easiest for Labour to adopt a ‘Tory-lite’ approach to welfare in
2015. Yet this would be based on the mistaken belief that the politicians
follow the public. And all this will do
is play into the hands of the enemies of the welfare state, all of whom are
only too happy to set the welfare agenda on their own terms.
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